Scientific Reasoning
The Bayesian Approach

Colin Howson and Peter Urbach
Second Edition

"Two English philosophers provocatively argue the case for Bayesian logic, with a minimum of complex math. They claim that Bayesian thinking is identical to the scientific method and give fascinating examples of how to analyze beliefs, such as Macbeth's doubting of the witches' prophecy, the discovery of Neptune on the strength of faith in Newton's laws but zero evidence, and why people get hooked on Dianetics."
—Discover

"For the first time, we have a book that combines philosophical wisdom, mathematical skill, and statistical appreciation, to produce a coherent system."
—Dennis V. Lindley
University College, London

"This is a wonderful book for those who want to understand the state of the art of Bayesian principles and techniques as they are applied to just about every important statistical situation."
—International Studies In Philosophy